{"id":35186,"date":"2026-07-22T18:12:03","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T18:12:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/coinbase-stock-sinks-4-as-clarity-act-odds-collapse-to-37\/"},"modified":"2026-07-22T18:12:28","modified_gmt":"2026-07-22T18:12:28","slug":"coinbase-stock-sinks-4-as-clarity-act-odds-collapse-to-37","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/coinbase-stock-sinks-4-as-clarity-act-odds-collapse-to-37\/","title":{"rendered":"Coinbase stock sinks 4% as CLARITY Act odds collapse to 37%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-detail__content blocks\">\n<p class=\"is-style-lead\">Coinbase shares have fallen 4% to about $169 on July 22 as the CLARITY Act\u2019s 2026 passage odds dropped 15 percentage points from the previous day\u2019s peak.<\/p>\n<div id=\"cn-block-summary-block_ad404e2648ab923af1116c185505ec82\" class=\"cn-block-summary\">\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__nav tabs\">\n        <span class=\"tabs__item is-selected\">Summary<\/span>\n    <\/div>\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__content\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Coinbase stock fell 4% as the CLARITY Act\u2019s passage odds dropped to 37%.<\/li>\n<li>COIN must reclaim $170.89 to target resistance at $180.70 and $190.51.<\/li>\n<li>SUI staking and a $150,000 SEC settlement added company-specific catalysts.<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- .cn-block-summary --><\/p>\n<p>Polymarket data places the bill\u2019s chance of passing before the end of 2026 at 37%, down from 52% on July 21, after disagreements emerged over how proposed ethics restrictions should be enforced.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Polymarket<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>President Donald Trump had agreed to include ethics provisions in the market structure bill, helping lift the probability on Polymarket and sending COIN stock 9% higher on July 21. The compromise, however, failed to secure enough support after some Democratic senators objected to assigning enforcement responsibility to the U.S. Department of Justice instead of state attorneys general.<\/p>\n<p>Senator Angela Alsobrooks described the White House proposal as an \u201cunserious offer\u201d and stated that senators would continue working on language capable of holding all parties accountable. Her comments weakened expectations that the latest concession would end the dispute holding up the legislation.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udea8NEW: <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Sen_Alsobrooks?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Sen_Alsobrooks<\/a> tells me the White House\u2019s idea to have the Department of Justice enforce the Clarity Act\u2019s ethics provisions is an \u201cunserious offer\u201d and says she would not support the bill if that is the only enforcement option.<\/p>\n<p>Senator <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/berniemoreno?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@berniemoreno<\/a>, who has been\u2026 <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/XLZ2Nsm9Pc\">https:\/\/t.co\/XLZ2Nsm9Pc<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett) <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/EleanorTerrett\/status\/2079608362522575063?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 21, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Republican Senator Thom Tillis also indicated that the text was not ready for a procedural vote. According to Tillis, lawmakers still need to make changes before senators can support advancing the bill, leaving its timetable uncertain despite the renewed negotiations.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">One clue to Tillis\u2019 objections: he said the bill\u2019s \u201cexceptions\u201d may need to be retooled, and he\u2019s not referring to the WH.<\/p>\n<p>TILLIS; \u201cThe main thing is, I think we have to apply the same sorts of rules to everybody. There can&#8217;t be any exceptions based on office.\u201d <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/a2mKjgkyQv\">https:\/\/t.co\/a2mKjgkyQv<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Brendan Pedersen (@BrendanPedersen) <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BrendanPedersen\/status\/2079690375690654120?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 21, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Falling bill odds have interrupted COIN\u2019s rebound<\/h2>\n<p>Monday\u2019s policy optimism helped Coinbase shares close above $170 for the first time since June 2, but the rally lost momentum as the disagreement in Washington returned. TradingView data shows COIN opened at $172.25 on July 22, reached $174.96 and fell as low as $168.32 before trading near $169.11.<\/p>\n<p>On the daily chart, the latest advance also pushed COIN above a descending trendline drawn from its May high. Tuesday\u2019s decline brought the stock back below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $170.89, making that level the first resistance buyers need to recover.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1827\" height=\"954\" src=\"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/1784743923_983_Coinbase-stock-sinks-4-as-CLARITY-Act-odds-collapse-to.webp.webp\" alt=\"Coinbase daily chart shows COIN retreating to $169 after testing resistance near $175.\" class=\"wp-image-14474154\"  ><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Momentum readings still show some support beneath the pullback. The chart\u2019s moving average convergence divergence line has moved above its signal line, while the histogram has turned positive, a combination that TradingView\u2019s indicator readings associate with improving bullish momentum.<\/p>\n<p>COIN\u2019s relative strength index stands at 53.68, above its moving average of 49.70 and well below overbought territory. According to the chart, this neutral-to-positive reading gives buyers room to extend the recovery if the stock retakes $170.89 and attracts follow-through demand.<\/p>\n<p>Above that barrier, the Fibonacci retracement identifies $180.70 as the next resistance, followed by $190.51 and $202.65. A close above the $180.70 midpoint would strengthen the recovery case and place the psychological $200 area close to the 23.6% retracement.<\/p>\n<p>Failure to reclaim $170.89 would leave COIN exposed to the 78.6% Fibonacci level at $156.92. The chart places the full retracement at $139.13, although the July price structure also shows several recent lows around $150 that could offer support before the stock reaches the lower target.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s recovery to around $66,000 may provide an additional catalyst because Coinbase earns part of its revenue from crypto trading. Raymond James, however, expects subdued market activity to weigh on the company\u2019s performance and has <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/news\/analyst-ratings\/raymond-james-initiates-coinbase-stock-coverage-with-market-perform-93CH-4804283\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">initiated coverage with a $158 price target<\/a>, roughly 6.5% below COIN\u2019s quoted level near $169.<\/p>\n<p>Oppenheimer previously lowered its Coinbase target to $209, also citing soft spot-trading volumes during the crypto downturn. Despite its cautious stock forecast, Raymond James estimated that Coinbase\u2019s expanding product range, including prediction markets, could eventually produce more than $100 million in annualized revenue.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New products and an SEC settlement support the business case<\/h2>\n<p>Coinbase added another service on July 22 by opening SUI staking to eligible customers. According to the exchange, users can begin with one SUI and earn estimated annual rewards ranging from 1.4% to 3.3% while keeping their tokens in their Coinbase accounts, although availability varies by location.<\/p>\n<p>Alongside the product rollout, Coinbase secured a $150,000 settlement from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission over missing communications from former Chair Gary Gensler. Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal disclosed the agreement on July 22, ending the exchange\u2019s Freedom of Information Act lawsuit against the regulator.<\/p>\n<p>Under the settlement described by Grewal, the SEC will pay Coinbase and revise its record-retention rules after nearly 11 months of Gensler\u2019s text messages were lost. Grewal wrote that the agency blamed a process that \u201cautomatically wiped\u201d certain data, including communications Coinbase had requested while investigating how senior officials approached crypto policy and enforcement.<\/p>\n<p>Coinbase had also sued the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation in 2024 for records it believed could reveal efforts by U.S. regulators to limit crypto companies\u2019 access to banking services. The SEC agreement resolves only the related records case, but it adds a legal win as investors assess the exchange\u2019s regulatory position.<\/p>\n<p>Attention now turns to Coinbase\u2019s second-quarter results, scheduled for July 30. Analysts expect earnings of $0.19 per share, compared with a loss of $1.49 per share in the first quarter, making trading revenue, new services and management\u2019s outlook key tests for COIN after its policy-driven rally.<\/p>\n<div class=\"cn-block-disclaimer\">\n<div class=\"cn-block-disclaimer__icon\">\n            <svg class=\"icon icon-info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><use xlink:href=\"#icon-info\"><\/use> <\/svg>        <\/div>\n<p class=\"cn-block-disclaimer__content\">\n            Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.        <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .cn-block-disclaimer --><\/p>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Coinbase shares have fallen 4% to about $169 on July 22 as the CLARITY Act\u2019s 2026 passage odds dropped 15 percentage points from the previous day\u2019s peak. Summary Coinbase stock&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32913,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35186","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35186","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35186"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35186\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35187,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35186\/revisions\/35187"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32913"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35186"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35186"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35186"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}