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The White House believes it is \u201cgetting close to an agreement with Iran on a one-page memorandum of understanding to end the war and set a framework for more detailed nuclear negotiations,\u201d Axios reported on Wednesday, citing two US officials and two additional sources briefed on the talks. The US expects Tehran\u2019s response on several key points within the next 48 hours, making this \u201cthe closest the parties have been to an agreement since the war began,\u201d according to the report.<\/p>\n
Under the draft, Iran would commit to a moratorium on uranium enrichment, while Washington would agree to lift some sanctions and release billions of dollars in frozen Iranian assets, Reuters summarized in its own write\u2011up of the Axios story. Both sides would also lift restrictions on transit through the Strait of Hormuz, the chokepoint that handles roughly 20% of global oil trade and has been partially shut by Iranian measures and a US naval blockade during the conflict.<\/p>\n
The memorandum, described as a 14\u2011point, single\u2011page document, is being negotiated by Trump envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner with several Iranian officials, using a mix of direct and mediated channels. In its current form, the memo would formally declare an end to regional hostilities and trigger a 30\u2011day period of intensive talks on a fuller agreement covering strait access, nuclear limits, and sanctions relief, with venues under discussion including Islamabad and Geneva. During that 30\u2011day window, restrictions on shipping and the US blockade would be phased out; if the talks collapse, US forces would retain authority to restore the blockade or resume military action.<\/p>\n
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Markets have already shown how sensitive they are to each turn in the Iran story. When the war first escalated in late February, Bitcoin fell from about $66,000 toward $63,000 within hours, erasing over $120 billion in crypto market cap, while gold spiked toward fresh highs and oil briefly jumped more than 10%, as detailed in a\u00a0Blockhead<\/a>\u00a0post\u2011mortem and a broader\u00a0Economic Times<\/a>\u00a0review of safe\u2011haven flows.<\/p>\n As the conflict shifted from escalation to uneasy ceasefire, Bitcoin\u2019s behavior flipped. When President Donald Trump signaled an initial pause in escalation and a conditional ceasefire tied to reopening the Strait of Hormuz, BTC jumped roughly 5% in a single session to above $72,700, according to\u00a0Bitcoin Magazine<\/a>. A later extension of the truce helped push Bitcoin toward $78,000, its highest level in more than ten weeks,\u00a0Yahoo Finance<\/a>\u00a0reported.<\/p>\n Analysts quoted by MEXC and other outlets have framed this pattern as a classic \u201cde\u2011risking, then re\u2011risking\u201d sequence: in the initial shock, traders dump Bitcoin alongside equities and rotate into cash, gold, and oil; once a ceasefire or de\u2011escalation looks durable, capital rotates back into higher\u2011beta assets, with BTC often outperforming in the relief phase. A recent MEXC\u00a0scenario analysis<\/a>\u00a0on the Iran\u2011Israel war laid out this exact path\u2014oil easing back, inflation expectations softening, the Fed resuming cuts, and \u201cBitcoin breaking higher\u201d under a ceasefire case.<\/a><\/p>\n If Washington and Tehran now ink even a preliminary memorandum that ends the war and reopens the Strait, traders will likely replay a similar macro script: crude prices and gold could cool from crisis highs, rate\u2011cut expectations might firm, and Bitcoin could benefit from both a weaker dollar and renewed risk appetite. Crypto\u2019s response will not be linear\u2014macro, ETF flows, and idiosyncratic factors all matter\u2014but the market has already shown that for this conflict, peace headlines have tended to coincide with BTC reclaiming the high\u2011$70,000 to $79,000 zone, as noted by\u00a0CryptoBriefing<\/a>.<\/a><\/p>\n Over the medium term, a durable US\u2011Iran understanding that normalizes the Strait of Hormuz would remove one of the biggest geopolitical tail\u2011risks hanging over both traditional markets and crypto. That could shift the narrative away from \u201cwar hedge\u201d trades in gold and oil back toward structural stories like Bitcoin ETF adoption, Ethereum\u2019s roadmap, and the broader on\u2011chain capital rotation that crypto.news has been tracking in recent coverage, including this\u00a0ETF inflow analysis, a\u00a0safe\u2011haven comparison, and a macro\u2011driven\u00a0market outlook.<\/p>\n <\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Summary The US and Iran are close to agreeing a one-page memorandum of understanding to end the current war and set up detailed nuclear talks, according to Axios. The 14-clause…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6558,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27757"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27757\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27758,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27757\/revisions\/27758"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6558"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}