{"id":24994,"date":"2026-04-03T19:20:07","date_gmt":"2026-04-03T19:20:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/vanecks-matthew-sigel-says-100k-bitcoin-totally-reasonable-within-a-year\/"},"modified":"2026-04-03T19:20:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T19:20:16","slug":"vanecks-matthew-sigel-says-100k-bitcoin-totally-reasonable-within-a-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/vanecks-matthew-sigel-says-100k-bitcoin-totally-reasonable-within-a-year\/","title":{"rendered":"VanEck\u2019s Matthew Sigel says $100k Bitcoin \u201ctotally reasonable\u201d within a year"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"post-detail__content blocks\">\n<p class=\"is-style-lead\">VanEck\u2019s Matthew Sigel sees $100,000 Bitcoin within a year even as Iran conflict\u2013driven volatility, war risks, and macro uncertainty leave room for another 20% drawdown.<\/p>\n<div id=\"cn-block-summary-block_62bcd6cd5dff6d94e9c17aa09d279e71\" class=\"cn-block-summary\">\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__nav tabs\">\n        <span class=\"tabs__item is-selected\">Summary<\/span>\n    <\/div>\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__content\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>VanEck\u2019s Matthew Sigel says Bitcoin at $100,000 within a year is \u201ctotally reasonable,\u201d even after war\u2011driven volatility.<a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PowerLunch\/status\/2039785882123731246\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><\/a><\/li>\n<li>Macro investor James Lavish warns Bitcoin could drop up to 20% if the Iran conflict escalates further.<\/li>\n<li>Geopolitical tension has already erased roughly 20% from Bitcoin\u2019s value since late February, challenging its safe\u2011haven narrative.<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- .cn-block-summary --><\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/news\/4567172-crypto-slides-as-iran-conflict-shakes-risk-appetite\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><\/a>Bitcoin (BTC) can \u201ctotally reasonably\u201d trade back at $100,000 within a year, according to VanEck\u2019s head of digital assets Matthew Sigel, who argues the leading cryptocurrency remains a \u201c100% viable asset\u201d despite heavy drawdowns and war\u2011driven volatility. His comments, made on CNBC\u2019s Power Lunch and amplified on X, come as Bitcoin trades in the high $60,000s after a sharp correction from an October peak near $126,000. Since the Iran conflict escalated in late February, about 20% has already been shaved off Bitcoin\u2019s market value, exposing the fragility of its supposed crisis\u2011hedge status.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;In one year&#8217;s time,&#8221; says <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/matthew_sigel?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">@matthew_sigel<\/a>. <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">$BTC<\/a><a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/v8fzJvpmNF\">https:\/\/t.co\/v8fzJvpmNF<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Power Lunch (@PowerLunch) <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PowerLunch\/status\/2039785882123731246?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">April 2, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>In the viral clip shared by CNBC\u2019s Power Lunch account on X, Sigel calls Bitcoin \u201ca 100% viable asset, depending on when you start the clock,\u201d before adding: \u201cI think a $100,000 Bitcoin again is totally reasonable in one year\u2019s time.\u201d That view extends earlier VanEck research, where Sigel set a base\u2011case Bitcoin target of $180,000 for this cycle, arguing that institutional inflows, pro\u2011crypto U.S. policy under President Donald Trump, and repeated all\u2011time highs would define the post\u2011election landscape. Bitcoin was recently priced around $68,510, roughly $16,600 below where it traded a year ago and nearly 50% off its October all\u2011time high near $126,000.<\/p>\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"war-risk-and-a-potential-20-drawdown\">War risk and a potential 20% drawdown<\/h1>\n<p>The bullish VanEck call lands against a darker macro backdrop highlighted by macro investor James Lavish in a separate interview shared by Cointelegraph. Lavish warns that if tensions around the Iran conflict escalate, Bitcoin \u201ccould fall up to 20%,\u201d a move that would push the price back toward the low\u2011to\u2011mid $50,000s and further undercut the narrative of digital gold. Data already show how sensitive the asset has become to Middle East headlines: Bitcoin plunged to about $63,255 in late February on the initial U.S.\u2013Israel strikes on Iran before rebounding above $68,000 on shifting war reports.<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p>\n<p>Market research cited by outlets such as Seeking Alpha notes that the broader downturn tied to the Iran conflict has erased roughly 20% from Bitcoin\u2019s value since hostilities intensified, while some analysts warn a slide toward $50,000 remains possible before any durable recovery. At the same time, Glassnode data highlighted by Yahoo Finance show \u201ctentative signs of improvement,\u201d with Bitcoin recently up about 4.3% on the day around $69,100 as traders start to re\u2011risk on hopes for de\u2011escalation.<\/p>\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"between-safe-haven-and-risk-asset\">Between safe haven and risk asset<\/h1>\n<p>The split between Sigel\u2019s $100,000 road map and Lavish\u2019s 20% downside warning captures Bitcoin\u2019s current identity crisis: it trades like a geopolitically sensitive risk asset, not a pure safe haven, even as long\u2011term bulls continue to frame it as protection against monetary debasement. In previous commentary covered by Forbes, BitMEX co\u2011founder Arthur Hayes argued that prolonged conflict and renewed money\u2011printing could ultimately drive Bitcoin toward $500,000, underscoring how war and macro policy, not just halving cycles, now anchor the most aggressive price targets.<\/p>\n<p>For now, spot prices remain well below both the $100,000 threshold flagged by Sigel and the $180,000 base case VanEck has floated for this cycle, but also far above the $52,000 lows seen earlier in the Iran crisis. Whether Bitcoin spends the next year climbing back toward six\u2011figure territory or retesting the $50,000 area may hinge less on crypto\u2011native narratives and more on how the Iran war, oil prices, and Federal Reserve policy evolve from here.<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>VanEck\u2019s Matthew Sigel sees $100,000 Bitcoin within a year even as Iran conflict\u2013driven volatility, war risks, and macro uncertainty leave room for another 20% drawdown. Summary VanEck\u2019s Matthew Sigel says&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14967,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24994","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24994","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24994"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24994\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24995,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24994\/revisions\/24995"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24994"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24994"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24994"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}