{"id":22954,"date":"2026-03-02T06:22:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T06:22:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/record-trading-on-polymarket-amid-iran-strikes-six-wallets-net-1-2m\/"},"modified":"2026-03-02T06:22:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T06:22:22","slug":"record-trading-on-polymarket-amid-iran-strikes-six-wallets-net-1-2m","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/record-trading-on-polymarket-amid-iran-strikes-six-wallets-net-1-2m\/","title":{"rendered":"Record trading on Polymarket amid Iran strikes; Six wallets net $1.2M"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-detail__content blocks\">\n<p class=\"is-style-lead\">Polymarket recorded historic trading activity on the day of the joint U.S.\u2013Israel strike on Iran, with single-day nominal trading volume reaching $478 million, according to an analyst tracking platform data.<\/p>\n<div id=\"cn-block-summary-block_64bfc33852be1ee85652c3c3f051f6a3\" class=\"cn-block-summary\">\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__nav tabs\">\n        <span class=\"tabs__item is-selected\">Summary<\/span>\n    <\/div>\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__content\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Polymarket hit a historic $478 million in single-day trading volume, with politics markets alone accounting for $220 million.<\/li>\n<li>Six newly funded wallets reportedly made $1.2 million betting \u201cyes\u201d on a U.S. strike just hours before it happened.<\/li>\n<li>A major trader who had been betting against a strike lost $6.5 million in one day when the airstrikes occurred.<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- .cn-block-summary --><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">War bets surge: Polymarket hits $478M daily volume<\/h2>\n<p>The <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/defioasis\/status\/2027950143539187987?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">surge<\/a> marked the highest daily volume in the platform\u2019s history. The politics sector alone accounted for $220 million, or 46.2% of total daily volume, also setting a record. Polymarket Builders, the ecosystem\u2019s infrastructure arm, similarly posted a single-day high as geopolitical tensions drove traders into war-related contracts.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><\/figure>\n<p>At the center of the activity was the contract titled \u201cUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?\u201d hours before coordinated airstrikes were launched early Saturday morning, several newly created wallets piled into \u201cyes\u201d shares.<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p>\n<p>On-chain analytics firm Bubblemaps flagged six wallets that collectively profited roughly $1.2 million. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">JUST IN: \ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf7 \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8  Six suspected insiders made $1.2M betting on a US strike on Iran<\/p>\n<p>Most of these wallets:<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 were funded in the last 24h<br \/>\u2022 specifically bet for February 28<br \/>\u2022 bought &#8220;yes&#8221; hours before the strike <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/n3G6OIEOXt\">pic.twitter.com\/n3G6OIEOXt<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Bubblemaps (@bubblemaps) <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/bubblemaps\/status\/2027718004193300791?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">February 28, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>According to its findings, most of the wallets were funded within 24 hours of the attack, specifically targeted the February 28 deadline, and accumulated \u201cyes\u201d positions just hours before the strikes occurred, raising suspicions of potential insider knowledge.<\/p>\n<p>The surge has drawn scrutiny from analysts and regulators alike, with critics suggesting that fresh accounts profiting off the timing of strikes could indicate access to privileged information.<\/p>\n<p>Not all traders emerged unscathed. On-chain tracker <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lookonchain\/status\/2027749637571158060?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Lookonchain<\/a> highlighted one high-profile bettor, \u201canoin123,\u201d who had built more than $2 million in profits over two months by consistently wagering that the U.S. and Israel would not strike Iran. <\/p>\n<p>When the strike ultimately took place, the trader lost $6.5 million in a single day, flipping from multimillion-dollar gains to more than $4.5 million in losses.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2014\" height=\"1200\" src=\"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1772432532_604_Record-trading-on-Polymarket-amid-Iran-strikes-Six-wallets-net.webp.webp\" alt=\"Record trading on Polymarket amid Iran strikes; Six wallets net $1.2M - 2\" class=\"wp-image-14452354\"><\/figure>\n<p>The episode shows both the explosive growth of blockchain-based prediction markets during geopolitical crises and the mounting scrutiny surrounding suspiciously timed bets.<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Polymarket recorded historic trading activity on the day of the joint U.S.\u2013Israel strike on Iran, with single-day nominal trading volume reaching $478 million, according to an analyst tracking platform data.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9002,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22954","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22954"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22954\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22955,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22954\/revisions\/22955"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9002"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22954"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22954"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22954"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}