{"id":22724,"date":"2026-02-25T09:27:21","date_gmt":"2026-02-25T09:27:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/bitcoin-bear-grind-5-red-months-74-lth-profit-rapidly-eroding\/"},"modified":"2026-02-25T09:27:28","modified_gmt":"2026-02-25T09:27:28","slug":"bitcoin-bear-grind-5-red-months-74-lth-profit-rapidly-eroding","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/bitcoin-bear-grind-5-red-months-74-lth-profit-rapidly-eroding\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin bear grind: 5 red months, 74% LTH profit rapidly eroding"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div class=\"post-detail__content blocks\">\n<p>BTC is down ~50% from ATH, with 74% LTH profit shrinking as supply in loss hits 50% amid multi\u2011month selling.<\/p>\n<div id=\"cn-block-summary-block_86962a4693d0ccc5cb3c9bc5d956ce6d\" class=\"cn-block-summary\">\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__nav tabs\">\n        <span class=\"tabs__item is-selected\">Summary<\/span>\n    <\/div>\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__content\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Long-term BTC holders still sit on ~74% average profit, but that margin is compressing as price grinds toward the LTH cost basis near ~$39k.<\/li>\n<li>BTC has printed almost five straight red monthly candles after a volatility spike above 150%, while weekly RSI hits one of its most oversold levels ever around the $60k-$65k zone.<\/li>\n<li>BTC supply in loss has hit ~10m coins, roughly 50% of the 20m circulating, a capital destruction level that has historically coincided with bear market bottoms.<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- .cn-block-summary --><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin long-term holders currently hold an average profit of approximately 74%, though that margin continues to decline as the cryptocurrency\u2019s price moves closer to their cost basis, according to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost.<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p>\n<p>The analyst noted that historical bear market cycles have been characterized by prices breaking below the long-term holder cost basis, triggering capitulation phases marked by realized losses of around 20%. Long-term holders are defined as investors known to be less sensitive to short-term price fluctuations, Darkfost stated.<\/p>\n<p>Market recovery and bull phase entry have historically occurred only after such capitulation events, according to the analysis.<\/p>\n<p>Glassnode reported that the 90-day moving average of the Realized Profit\/Loss Ratio has fallen below 1, confirming a transition into an excess loss-realization regime. The blockchain analytics firm stated that these bearish conditions have historically persisted for at least six months before liquidity returns to markets.<\/p>\n<p>Analyst James Check reported that Bitcoin has recorded nearly five consecutive red monthly candles following the largest volatility spike of the current cycle. Check observed that one-week realized volatility spiked above 150%, a level typically associated with capitulation events, and that weekly RSI has reached one of the most oversold readings in Bitcoin\u2019s history. A significant amount of Bitcoin has migrated to new holders in a high price range this year, according to Check\u2019s analysis.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin supply in loss reached 10 million coins, the fourth-highest reading on record, analyst James Van Straten reported. Van Straten noted that circulating supply will reach 20 million Bitcoin next week, with 50% held at a loss. Historical patterns suggest such capital destruction levels are sufficient for a bear market bottom, according to Van Straten.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin experienced a minor price rebound during early Asian trading hours, though bearish sentiment remains dominant in the market. The price movement formed another lower high while a key support level continues to hold, according to technical analysis.<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BTC is down ~50% from ATH, with 74% LTH profit shrinking as supply in loss hits 50% amid multi\u2011month selling. Summary Long-term BTC holders still sit on ~74% average profit,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8797,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22724","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22724"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22724\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22725,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22724\/revisions\/22725"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8797"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22724"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22724"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}