{"id":18284,"date":"2025-12-18T17:34:57","date_gmt":"2025-12-18T17:34:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/will-bitcoin-price-rise-or-fall-after-the-boj-rate-decision-on-dec-19\/"},"modified":"2025-12-18T17:35:28","modified_gmt":"2025-12-18T17:35:28","slug":"will-bitcoin-price-rise-or-fall-after-the-boj-rate-decision-on-dec-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/will-bitcoin-price-rise-or-fall-after-the-boj-rate-decision-on-dec-19\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Bitcoin price rise or fall after the BoJ rate decision on Dec. 19?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-detail__content blocks\">\n<p class=\"is-style-lead\">The Bitcoin price has remained on edge this week as investors await the Bank of Japan\u2019s interest rate decision scheduled for Dec. 19.<\/p>\n<div id=\"cn-block-summary-block_fd52bfb82687c917bdd285e907551c22\" class=\"cn-block-summary\">\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__nav tabs\">\n        <span class=\"tabs__item is-selected\">Summary<\/span>\n    <\/div>\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__content\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bitcoin price has pulled back this week as traders wait for the BoJ interest rate decision.<\/li>\n<li>Polymarket odds of a rate cut have jumped to 99%.<\/li>\n<li>Bitcoin has formed a bearish flag pattern on the daily chart.<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- .cn-block-summary --><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin (BTC) token was trading at $87,700 at press time. This price was about 7.47% below the highest point this month, and 30% below the all-time high.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds of BoJ interest rate hike are rising<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin, altcoins, and the stock market have pulled back in the past few days as odds of a BoJ rate hike have jumped. Polymarket assigns a 98% probability to a hike.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Odds of BoJ interest rate hike | Source: Polymarket<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A BoJ rate hike is important given its size, as it is one of the largest central banks globally, with over $4.48 trillion in assets. It is also the biggest holder of US government bonds.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p>\n<p>The risk of a BoJ hike at a time when the Fed is cutting rates is that it may now push investors to unwind their carry trades. A carry trade happens when an investor borrows from a low-interest-rate country and invests in higher-yielding assets.<\/p>\n<p>Japan has been one of the biggest catalysts for a carry trade, as it maintained low interest rates for decades. As such, as the spread between U.S. and Japanese yields narrows, investors may sell the risky assets they bought.<\/p>\n<p>However, the BoJ rate hike may not drive Bitcoin lower. With odds of a hike at 99%, it has now been priced in by market participants. As such, the coin may rebound as investors buy the news and embrace the new normal.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin price technical analysis\u00a0<\/h2>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"3574\" height=\"2020\" src=\"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1766079297_107_Will-Bitcoin-price-rise-or-fall-after-the-BoJ-rate.webp.webp\" alt=\"Bitcoin price\" class=\"wp-image-14440970\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">BTC price chart | Source: crypto.news<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The daily chart shows that the path of the least resistance for Bitcoin is bearish in the near term. It is slowly forming a bearish flag pattern. It has already completed the formation of the inverted flagpole and is now in the flag section.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin remains below the Supertrend indicator and the 100-day Exponential Moving Average. It is also nearing the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, there is a risk that the Bitcoin price will eventually decline and retest the year-to-date low of $74,423, approximately 15% below the current level.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>While the most likely Bitcoin outlook is bearish, it may rebound and retest the upper side of the flag at $94,500, and then resume the bearish trend.<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bitcoin price has remained on edge this week as investors await the Bank of Japan\u2019s interest rate decision scheduled for Dec. 19. Summary Bitcoin price has pulled back this&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15733,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18284","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18284","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18284"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18284\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18285,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18284\/revisions\/18285"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15733"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18284"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18284"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18284"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}