{"id":16149,"date":"2025-11-18T09:20:46","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T09:20:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/bitcoin-enters-death-cross-while-market-tests-key-levels\/"},"modified":"2025-11-18T09:20:54","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T09:20:54","slug":"bitcoin-enters-death-cross-while-market-tests-key-levels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/bitcoin-enters-death-cross-while-market-tests-key-levels\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin enters death cross while market tests key levels"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-detail__content blocks\">\n<p class=\"is-style-lead\">Can Bitcoin regain momentum after forming a death cross, or will the setup echo the extended weakness seen in 2022?<\/p>\n<div id=\"cn-block-summary-block_328773f90e4f0e591005cc00c055c8bf\" class=\"cn-block-summary\">\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__nav tabs\">\n        <span class=\"tabs__item is-selected\">Summary<\/span>\n    <\/div>\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__content\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bitcoin has formed a death cross after falling below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.<\/li>\n<li>Analyst Ali Martinez points to historical cycles and MVRV data to outline possible lower levels if weakness continues.<\/li>\n<li>Egrag Crypto disagrees, arguing that moving averages have lost reliability and that the market remains intact above long-term support.<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- .cn-block-summary --><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin has entered a technical pattern commonly known as a death cross, as its short-term moving average has fallen below its long-term moving average. <\/p>\n<p>The formation appeared after Bitcoin (BTC) dropped under both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, a setup traders often monitor for potential trend changes. As of this writing, BTC traded around $91,000, down about 5% in the last 24-hours.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">BTC price chart | Source: crypto.news<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Analyst Ali Martinez <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ali_charts\/status\/1990629032992641162?s=20\">noted<\/a> that every death cross over the past year eventually reversed, leading to renewed strength. Martinez also pointed out that in 2022 a similar formation preceded a long downturn, and the current price action mirrors that earlier structure in speed and behaviour.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin is also trading under its MVRV mean price, a metric that compares market value with realized value to identify valuation zones. A drop below the mean has historically placed the asset in undervalued territory, based on the model\u2019s readings.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Where is Bitcoin headed next?<\/h2>\n<p>Martinez outlined three lower price areas to watch if weakness continues. These zones correspond to past deviation levels and the realized price that marked previous market troughs.<\/p>\n<p>In a separate analysis, Martinez examined earlier Bitcoin cycles. The cycles that peaked in 2017 and 2021 each entered bear markets lasting around 364 days, with drawdowns of 84% and 77%. <\/p>\n<p>If the current cycle top occurred in October 2025, a similar structure would imply a potential bottom in October 2026, based on historical patterns.<\/p>\n<p>On-chain data also shows an increase in Bitcoin transfers to exchanges, which some market watchers interpret as a sign of rising sell-side pressure. Several analysts argue that the technical setup may point toward extended weakness.<\/p>\n<p>Analyst Egrag Crypto offered a <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/egragcrypto\/status\/1990668359084487078?s=20\">counterpoint<\/a>, arguing that relying too heavily on chart patterns can lead to misreading the market. The analyst said current conditions differ from 2021 and that traditional moving averages have lost reliability. <\/p>\n<p>According to Egrag Crypto, the market remains structurally intact above the 21-week EMA, viewing the recent drop as a retest of long-term support with the potential for a move toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Can Bitcoin regain momentum after forming a death cross, or will the setup echo the extended weakness seen in 2022? Summary Bitcoin has formed a death cross after falling below&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15342,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16149","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16149","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16149"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16149\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16150,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16149\/revisions\/16150"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15342"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16149"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16149"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16149"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}