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The broader market\u2019s attention is shifting towards the anticipated release of the U.S. consumer price index report for September, but what does the market expect amid the CPI release?<\/p>\n
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It\u2019s been weeks since federal agencies in the United States published key economic data, including the crucial consumer price index report. That\u2019s because of the U.S. government shutdown that began on October 1, 2025. For more than three weeks, an economic data blackout remains in place as the shutdown drags.<\/p>\n
However, that changes slightly with the Bureau of Labor Statistics\u2019 expected release of CPI data on Friday.\u00a0<\/p>\n
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When the U.S. shutdown began last month, the market reaction was muted as stocks and cryptocurrencies edged up nonetheless.<\/p>\n
The expectation was that the partial shutdown would be brief. Sentiment dipped amid the dragging and equities led risk assets in paring gains. Gold, the safe haven asset, however, surged to a new all-time high above $4,400.<\/p>\n
So what\u2019s the outlook?<\/em><\/p>\n The September consumer price reading will, at the basic, offer a much needed view of inflation in the U.S.<\/p>\n Economists forecast US CPI data on Friday will show headline inflation increased at a faster-than-expected rate of 0.4% in September.<\/p>\n If this is the case, then the data will signal U.S. inflation up from 2.9% to 3.1%. That would be the fastest pace of month-on-month rise in over a year. Meanwhile, \u201ccore\u201d inflation, which ignores the volatile food and energy prices, is forecast to have jumped to 3.1% in September, with this unchanged from the previous month.<\/p>\n Wall Street Journal chief economics correspondent Nick Timiraos shared<\/a> the details below via X:<\/p>\n