{"id":11390,"date":"2025-09-22T11:49:09","date_gmt":"2025-09-22T11:49:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/ubs-recession-probability-in-the-u-s-is-93-a-historically-worrying-level\/"},"modified":"2025-09-22T11:49:15","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T11:49:15","slug":"ubs-recession-probability-in-the-u-s-is-93-a-historically-worrying-level","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitunikey.com\/news\/ubs-recession-probability-in-the-u-s-is-93-a-historically-worrying-level\/","title":{"rendered":"UBS: Recession probability in the U.S. is 93% \u2014 a \u201chistorically worrying level\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"
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UBS warns the recession risk in the U.S. has reached 93%. However, instead of a collapse, analysts predict a \u201csoft landing.\u201d<\/li>\n
Cooling on the labor market, building permits drop, shrinking GDP, and consumer spending amidst the tariff policy uncertainty contribute to the high probability of recession. That\u2019s what various experts have been saying for months.<\/li>\n
While some people got accustomed to constant recession \u201cfear mongering,\u201d others reacted to the UBS report by saying that the recession had already begun.<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Analysts from a Swiss investment bank, UBS, warn that the recession risk has elevated to 93% in the U.S. Their findings are based on May-July \u201chard data.\u201d Interestingly, UBS emphasizes it doesn\u2019t forecast a recession. Rather, it foresees the prolonged 70s-style stagflation in the near future. However, X is buzzing that the recession is already here, and experts just avoid calling it by that name.<\/p>\n